Having a Ball: evaluating scoring streaks and game excitement using in-match trend estimation (Record no. 711)

000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 01434nam a2200169 a 4500
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20260901030413.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 250101s2020 xx o 000 0 eng d
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Claus Thorn Ekstrøm
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Having a Ball: evaluating scoring streaks and game excitement using in-match trend estimation
264 #1 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE
Name of producer, publisher, distributor, manufacturer arXiv
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice 2020
336 ## - CONTENT TYPE
Content type term text
338 ## - CARRIER TYPE
Carrier type term online resource
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Many popular sports involve matches between two teams or players where each team have the possibility of scoring points throughout the match. While the overall match winner and result is interesting, it conveys little information about the underlying scoring trends throughout the match. Modeling approaches that accommodate a finer granularity of the score difference throughout the match is needed to evaluate in-game strategies, discuss scoring streaks, teams strengths, and other aspects of the game. We propose a latent Gaussian process to model the score difference between two teams and introduce the Trend Direction Index as an easily interpretable probabilistic measure of the current trend in the match as well as a measure of post-game trend evaluation. In addition we propose the Excitement Trend Index - the expected number of monotonicity changes in the running score difference - as a
506 0# - RESTRICTIONS ON ACCESS NOTE
Terms governing access Open access — freely available to read.
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2012.11915v1">https://arxiv.org/pdf/2012.11915v1</a>
Link text Read the full paper (PDF)
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Electronic resource (link)
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Damaged status Not for loan Collection Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Total checkouts Barcode Date last seen Uniform resource identifier Price effective from Koha item type
      Available online General Yegates University Library Yegates University Library Science and Computing 09/01/2026   YGE000972 09/01/2026 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2012.11915v1 09/01/2026 Research paper — read online